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2024-12-13 23:59:15

Barclays: The Central Economic Work Conference released more signals of policy support, which was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The Barclays research team said that the Central Economic Work Conference provided more forward-looking guidance and released more policy support signals. Barclays said that on the whole, the meeting made it clear that "stable economic growth should be maintained next year" and emphasized "implementing more active macro policies" and "vigorously boosting consumption". The agency believes that regulators are more likely to introduce policies in a gradual manner. At the same time, when measuring the rhythm, scale and composition of the next round of measures, we should focus on the development and changes of real estate and stock market. Barclays expects that a more specific financial plan will be announced in March next year. In terms of monetary policy, the meeting proposed to implement a "moderately loose monetary policy". Barclays believes that this change in wording and position has released a positive signal, especially considering the current environment, it is expected that the central bank may cut interest rates significantly in the future. (SSE)Shenzhen Longgang Yueke Artificial Intelligence Venture Capital Fund was established with a capital contribution of 1 billion yuan. According to Tianyanchao App, recently, Shenzhen Longgang Yueke Artificial Intelligence Venture Capital Fund Partnership (Limited Partnership) was established. The executive partner is Guangdong Yueke Parent Fund Investment Management Co., Ltd., with a capital contribution of 1 billion yuan. The business scope is to engage in equity investment, investment management, asset management and other activities with private equity funds. Shenzhen Longgang District Guide Fund Investment Co., Ltd. and Guangdong Emerging Industry Investment Fund Partnership.The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.


Deutsche Bank: There is little hope that the British economy will rebound at the end of the year. Sanjay Raja, an economist at Deutsche Bank, wrote in a research report that the British economy will face more twists and turns in the future. Data released on Friday showed that Britain's GDP contracted again in October from the previous month, which surprised the market. Raja said that business surveys predict that economic activity will further weaken in the last few months of this year. In his research report, he reminded investors that the uncertainty in taxation and expenditure, coupled with the reduction in retail and service consumption caused by bad weather, added more resistance to Britain's fragile economic recovery.On the 13th, the European futures of the container freight index rose by 7.03%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the data of the exchange, as of December 13th, the European futures of the main contract container freight index closed at 2502, up or down by +7.03%, with a turnover of 41,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were net, and the difference position was 3,022 lots. A total of 78,900 lots of European futures contracts were traded, an increase of 8,599 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 25,100 lots, an increase of 466 lots over the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 22,100 lots, a decrease of 120 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)Citigroup: Raise the target price of Autozone from $3,500 to $3,900, and maintain the "buy" rating.


It is predicted that the State Council Press Office will hold a press conference at 10 am on Monday, December 16th, 2024, and ask Fu Linghui, spokesperson of the National Bureau of Statistics and head of the National Economic Statistics Department, to introduce the national economic operation in November 2024 and answer questions from reporters.Saudi institutions are optimistic about China's "huge investment opportunities" in the fields of health care and biotechnology. Ekta Torani, chief investment officer of Saudi KBW Venture Capital Company, recently said in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates that with the increasingly close economic and trade ties between the Gulf region and China, the institution is optimistic about China's "huge investment opportunities" in the fields of health care and biotechnology.Villeroi, Governing Committee of the European Central Bank: Interest rates will be cut several times next year. Francois Villeroy de Galhau, a member of the Board of Governors of the European Central Bank, said that the European Central Bank will further reduce borrowing costs in 2025, and there is still a way to go before monetary policy is no longer restrictive. "There will be more interest rate cuts next year, and many times," he said on BFM Business TV on Friday He added that the central bank did not promise the specific interest rate trajectory in advance, but was "quite satisfied with the financial market forecast". The current expectation of the swap market is to cut interest rates by about 120 basis points by the end of next year.

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